On January 20, 2026, the traditional Back from NRF was back with a completely revamped format. New organization team led by the bubbly Ilana Mahrouch, new speakers, and an evolution towards an afterwork format, extended by a VIP dinner.

One constant, however, was the loyal presence of Michel Koch, a veteran of distance selling, e-commerce and retail, who is as passionate as ever when it comes to sharing his discoveries from across the Atlantic. This year’s event was co-hosted in French and English by Ian Jindal of RetailX, a recognized British expert who brings an international and very concrete reading of trends.

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The event brought together over 70 participants in Wasquehal, in the heart of the Lille metropolitan area, in the inspiring setting of the Maison des Bienheureux a manor house dating from 1925, former headquarters of La Redoute and then Promod, now a hybrid of boutique-hotel, cocktail bar, wine cellar and tea room.

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๐Ÿ“Š NRF 2026: the scale of the event

Before going into the background, a reminder of scale is in order. NRF 2026 represents 40,000 retail professionals and 6,000 brands, with a strong international dimension. The profiles present cover the entire value chain: management, operational teams, IT, digital, supply chain, merchandising.

This diversity is what makes the event so rich… but also so dense: three very intense days, which you need to prepare to get the maximum value out of.

๐ŸŒ Market & outlook: growth, but under pressure

Shared projections remain positive: global e-commerce is targeting $8,148 trillion in 2026, with an estimated growth trajectory of around +4% per year.

But the NRF also reminds us of a reality that is sometimes underestimated: the store remains at the heart of the reactor. Worldwide, 76% of sales are still made in physical stores.

๐Ÿง  Consumer trends: what US figures say

Several strong signals stand out on the U.S. side:

  • holiday spending growth of around +4%.
  • +18% in transactions
  • an increase in spending per visit

Marketplaces continue to drive the market(+22%), driven in particular by TikTok Shop, used by a significant proportion of 18-24 year-olds.

When it comes to payment, BNPL is taking root: almost 45% of 18-39 year-olds use it, with double-digit growth. And unsurprisingly, mobile-first behavior is becoming the norm among younger generations.

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๐ŸŒ Macro factors: increasingly asymmetrical consumption

Beyond digital, several structural factors are weighing on consumption.

The concept of the K-shaped economy illustrates a clear divide: a minority of consumers concentrate a major share of spending, particularly on luxury goods.

The impact of GLP-1 (appetite-suppressant drugs) is also mentioned, with effects already visible on grocery, catering and certain fast-food chains.

In this context, “doom spending” is emerging: emotional spending linked to economic anxiety and information saturation.

Finally, one risk has been identified as a potential tsunami: the evolution of electricity prices in the United States, likely to weigh heavily on purchasing power.

๐Ÿ—ฝ New York: when the terrain makes it all real

On site, the contrasts are striking: the free sale of cannabis in the middle of Manhattan, the hawking of luxury bags, the permanent cohabitation of innovation, economic tensions and creativity. New York remains an open-air laboratory.

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๐Ÿ”ฅ The major announcement: Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP)

If there was only one announcement to be made at NRF 2026, it would be this one: the Universal Commerce Protocol (UCP).

Billed as the HTTP equivalent of the 90s web, UCP is an open protocol designed to standardize product descriptions and checkouts, making commerce readable and actionable by AI agents.

The partners announced are major: Google, Walmart, Carrefour, Shopify, Zalando. And the key point: no one owns the protocol, it’s developed collectively.

A very concrete example: Monos(https://www.monos.com/). Thanks to UCP-compliant product data, the brand is selected by the Google agent as a valid option, without any media purchase. The transaction remains handled by Monos, which retains the customer relationship and transactional data.

๐Ÿค– What UCP changes in concrete terms

In the future, the purchasing process could be structured as follows:

  • merchants with machine-readable profiles
  • agents able to compare, negotiate and choose
  • a structured checkout executed directly in the AI interface

The first integrations are scheduled to go live in March 2026.

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๐Ÿ› ๏ธ Strategic projects to be launched

For retailers, the message is clear: the UCP means laying the foundations now (reliable data, compliance, technical stack), before tackling the relational and economic challenges of agentic commerce.

In the short term: making catalogs, prices and inventory reliable in real time, legal & compliance alignment (GDPR, DMA, DSA), upgrading e-commerce stacks. Medium-term: reinvention of CRM and loyalty, industrialization of CX agents, evolution of business models and anticipation of future agentic interfaces.

๐Ÿ“ˆ Retail & AI: results, but maturity still limited

AI is already showing positive results in product research, personalization and customer segmentation. However, few retailers today have a truly structured AI strategy, suggesting strong potential… but also a gap to be bridged.

๐Ÿงฑ Frictionless vs. flight: a delicate balance

Increasing the number of anti-theft devices reduces shrinkage, but also the propensity to buy. An increasingly sensitive trade-off for retailers.

๐Ÿ“บ Retail Media: when the supply chain becomes a media lever

In-store retail media appears to be a lever that is still largely under-monetized. Leveraging supply chain data (stocks, availability, lead times) can secure campaigns, improve targeting and generate significant additional revenues.

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โšกStartups: applied AI, very concrete

The Tech Innovation Tour highlighted several particularly operational solutions:

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๐Ÿฌ Store tours: New York as a sensory laboratory

Finally, the store tours confirm that retail is becoming more and more of an experience:

โš ๏ธ To remember

One point was conspicuous by its absence: not a word about sustainability throughout NRF 2026. This silence was all the more striking given the importance of the subject in Europe.

๐Ÿ™ A huge thank you to our two speakers, Michel Koch and Ian Jindal, and to our sponsors. WAIR (represented by Mitch van Deursen), Deloitte (represented by Julien Vigneau), Zipline (represented by Anthony Gavin ), for this exceptional evening, and to the fabulous Ilana Mahrouch for impeccable organization.

More content on the evening!

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